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Averages Can Mislead

Here’s a letter to the Wall Street Journal:

Editor:

Donald Luskin argues compellingly that the recent influx of immigrants is buoying the U.S. economy (“Open Borders Produced the Biden Economic Boom,” May 24). But his case is even stronger than he supposes. He’s not quite correct to write that “it is likely the case that the new foreign-born adults are diluting the productivity of the U.S. economy by arriving with few skills and with language and education deficits.”

The addition to the labor force of a worker whose skills are below average ‘dilutes’ the economy’s productivity only in the same way that the arrival of an infant child into a family ‘dilutes’ the height of the family members. What is ‘diluted’ is only the family’s average height; the infant’s arrival causes no individual’s height to fall. Mom and dad don’t shrink and big sister continues to grow. The family’s total height increases.

And so it is with the arrival of lower-skilled workers. They do pull down average worker productivity, but this statistical reality does not imply that the productivity of existing workers or of the U.S. economy falls. Indeed, by complementing existing workers, more low-skilled workers can raise the productivity of their higher-skilled counterparts, and of the economy at large, even as the measured average worker productivity declines.

Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux
Professor of Economics
and
Martha and Nelson Getchell Chair for the Study of Free Market Capitalism at the Mercatus Center
George Mason University
Fairfax, VA 22030

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Some Links

GMU Econ alum Dominic Pino: “We’re now seeing the results of Biden’s self-consciously big-government economic agenda. Turns out people don’t like it very much.”

George Leef reviews Carol Swain’s The Adversity of Diversity. Two slices:

Swain’s book opens with a foreword by the famed Harvard Law professor Alan Dershowitz, who was a civil-rights activist back in the 1960s. He agrees with Swain that America has departed disastrously from the integrationist goals of the old civil-rights movement. Today, it employs force to disrupt our institutions and violate the rights of disfavored groups, while accomplishing little if any good for struggling blacks. It’s good to see a traditional white liberal voicing support for a black conservative who believes that America made a tragic mistake when it turned away from the goal of equal rights for all.

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Swain emphasizes the depth to which the DEI agenda has taken root in American higher education. At the University of Texas, for example, there were 171 positions for “diversity” administrators at the time of Swain’s writing, costing over $13 million per year. In her view, that expense is worse than useless, since the diversity message is anti-educational—disinformation intended to sow the seeds of social discord by making whites feel guilty and blacks angry at their supposed oppression.

Kevin Corcoran exposes some of Tucker Carlson’s jejune ignorance.

The state of New York spends a lot per pupil on education.

Bjorn Lomborg decries green ‘activists” inhumanity.

Here’s David Bier on the Immigration Act of 1924. A slice:

No law has so radically altered the demographics, economy, politics, and liberty of the United States and the world. It has massively reduced American population growth from immigrants and their descendants by hundreds of millions, diminishing economic growth and limiting the power and influence of this country. Post‐​1924 Americans are not free to associate, contract, and trade with people born around the world as they were before.

Writing in the Wall Street Journal, Donald Luskin makes the case that the surge in immigration over the past few years is a major source of America’s current economic growth. Three slices:

Consider the 3.2 million increase in the foreign-born adult population in the U.S. in the 21 months since July 2022. We start at that date because it gives us a clean slate, free from the effects of the pandemic lockdown and reopening. And this period captures the full effect of the Biden administration’s loose border policies.

Over that period, foreign-born employment has increased 1.8 million—meaning that roughly 56% of the 3.2 million new foreign-born adult population became employed. Setting aside the political matter of how much of this employment is legal, the stereotype that immigrants don’t or can’t work appears to be false.

These numbers come from the Bureau of Labor Statistics in its monthly jobs report. They are collected in the Current Population Survey—the so-called household survey—which is used to calculate the national unemployment rate. It’s an old-fashioned door-to-door census of 60,000 households in which respondents are asked, among many questions, whether they are native-born or foreign-born. They aren’t asked if they are in the country illegally, and no doubt some are. But illegal aliens may be harder to find and less likely to answer a knock on the door, so the BLS probably undercounts them.

Even undercounted, the foreign-born represent 80% of the 4.1 million U.S. adult population increase since July 2022, and they account for 71% of the 2.5 million new jobs. All else equal, without the new foreign-born workers, total job growth in the economy would have been about 86,000 less every month—only 724,000 over the period, not 2.52 million.

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Yes, new immigrants put incremental demands on roads, hospitals, schools and other resources. But so do new native-born citizens. For either population, the question is what they produce as well as what they consume. The evidence shows that the foreign born are more likely to be producers than the native-born. In total, the foreign-born employment-to-population ratio is 63.4%. For the native-born, it is only 59.6%. By hook or by crook, legal or illegal, new immigrants are working.

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Such a policy is unsustainable in any case. Under capitalism, economic growth depends on trust—on the ability of economic participants to rely on others’ adherence to a set of defined and stable rules. The ad hoc lawlessness of the Biden border policy undermines that, and unless it can be stabilized it will be corrosive to long-term growth prospects. On the other hand, a border crackdown such as Donald Trump has proposed could end up leading to slower growth. Whoever is president in 2025 will need to take great care in balancing these urgent interests.

Randy Holcombe, dismayed by the intensification of tyranny in the country of Georgia, understands political ‘leaders” motivations. Two slices:

The voices of freedom in the Republic of Georgia (the former Soviet republic, not the home of the Bulldogs) will be substantially less audible thanks to a new law passed by Parliament. Organizations receiving more than 20% of their funding from foreign sources must be designated as “agents of foreign influence.”

Nonprofits in Georgia that have advocated for freedom and free markets receive a substantial share of their funding through grants from foreign foundations. That is likely to come to an end.

…..

This law will mute the voices of freedom in Georgia and turn the country, which for two decades moved away from Russian influence toward the West, back toward heavy-handed Russian-style governance.

Why would Georgia’s political leadership turn their backs on the institutional reforms that have shown such success for two decades? The main goal of those who have political power is to maintain and increase their power. The well-being of the masses is, at best, a secondary consideration. We can hope for the sake of the Georgian people that this is not the first step that will turn Georgia into another Venezuela.

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 5 of Robert Ekelund’s and Robert Tollison’s fascinating 1981 book, Mercantilism As a Rent-Seeking Society:

The balance-of-trade objective was nothing more than the by-product of the interplay of numerous self-interested parties who were seeking rents from monopolization in these early nation-states.

DBx: Yes. And so the balance-of-trade (or, more generally, the balance-of-payments) concept remains today good for nothing more than generating excuses for each government to burden the bulk of its citizens with trade restrictions and subsidies designed in fact to enrich a small handful of politically influential producer groups.

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Bob Ekelund (1940-2023) was my dissertation advisor at Auburn University. Bob Tollison (1942-2016) was my former colleague at George Mason University. I miss them both.

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Some Links

Ramesh Ponnuru tells how Trump taught Biden to love tariffs taxes on Americans’ efforts to raise their standard of living by buying imports. Two slices:

A new report from the U.S. trade representative’s office finds that President Donald Trump’s tariffs on Chinese products reduced Americans’ real incomes and depressed investment but didn’t increase manufacturing employment. Though China made some changes to its abusive trade practices in response to the tariffs, it “largely took superficial measures aimed at addressing negative perceptions.”

Having reached these dismal conclusions, the report recommended not just keeping the tariffs but also adding new ones, which is what the Biden administration has done.

That’s the way it goes in the strange world of trade, where policies can succeed politically not only in spite of, but even because of, their economic failures.

This story did not begin with Trump and President Biden. George W. Bush was one of many presidents who imposed tariffs on imported steel. Those tariffs cost more jobs in steel-consuming industries than they saved in the steel-producing industry. But they had bipartisan support, and Bush took at least as much flak for lifting them as he had for levying them in the first place.

While he was in office, Barack Obama placed tariffs on Chinese tires, costing Americans an estimated $900,000 per job saved (about $1.2 million in today’s money). Most people never heard about this misadventure because Republicans didn’t find it worthwhile to mount strong opposition to it.

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The candidates’ positions mean we will not have a debate between protectionism and free trade this year. Instead, Biden’s aides are setting up a contrast between his allegedly smart and strategic tariffs and Trump’s indiscriminate ones. But Biden’s strategy is mostly, and fairly obviously, about winning crucial industrial states in the November elections — especially Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. It’s based on traditional vote-buying, not some sophisticated economic theory.

Tariffs can sway votes in these states even if they don’t boost the national economy. Achieving some of the tariffs’ stated goals would undermine their political benefits. Imagine Trump’s tariffs had forced China to make real concessions: cracking down on intellectual-property theft and forced technology transfers in return for the lifting of those tariffs. That deal would have been great news for Hollywood and Silicon Valley. But they’re both located in a state that is not up for grabs in the election. The heartland states that will swing the election, on the other hand, would have less to gain from that settlement.

But there was never going to be a settlement. In the political logic of a trade war, the last thing a politician wants is a victory.

Insight from the Editorial Board of the Financial Times about trade. (HT Bill Evers) A slice:

First, investments under the IRA and Biden’s Chip Act, which seek to boost American semiconductor production, are also throttled by skills shortages, lengthy permitting processes and political uncertainty. Second, global supply chains are notoriously nimble. After earlier US efforts to block cheap solar panels, some Chinese firms began rerouting panels via south-east Asia. This raises the question of how well America enforces rules for transshipped and lightly processed Chinese goods from third countries.

Andrew Stuttaford reviews Marc-William Palen’s Pax Economica: Left-Wing Visions of a Free Trade World. Two slices:

The 19th century was a time when governments relied on tariffs for a significant portion of their income, and most of Mr. Palen’s free-traders did not envisage sweeping away all tariffs. Instead, they wished them to be set at levels designed solely to raise revenue, rather than for protectionist purposes—levels that would be kept even lower if, as they sought, expenditure on imperial defense and the military was reduced. They were involved in what Mr. Palen calls, somewhat anachronistically, an “intersectional fight for free trade, anti-imperialism, and peace.”

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Mr. Palen writes from quite some way to the left, which is hard to miss. His book records the left’s turn away from trade liberalization, but he himself laments how free trade was swallowed up by “neoliberalism” (that always reliable boogeyman ideology). In particular, he blames neoliberalism for the failure of free trade to deliver on Cobden’s promise of peace. And then Mr. Palen notes current complaints that free trade is not Fair Trade, a trading regime aimed at “peaceful and equitable global economic interdependence”—which is just as well, because if it were, trade would be less free, and there would be less of it.

Jessica Melugin’s letter in today’s Wall Street Journal is superb:

The only remedy Reps. McMorris Rodgers and Pallone Jr. offer for online harms is to turn the plaintiffs’ bar loose on tech companies, a curious solution for Republicans who historically favor tort reform. Eradicating or curtailing Section 230 will ensure that only those companies already big and rich enough to pay legal-defense bills will survive.

The First Amendment already ensures that social-media companies don’t have to carry any content they don’t wish, but Section 230 makes it fiscally safe to carry content they might not otherwise. Changing that should worry those concerned about the removal of online conservative speech, as those sentiments might be the first to go under the justification of increased legal risk.

Those same tech giants will also, inevitably, be the ones with seats at the table crafting a new regulatory regime during the 18-month window after repeal, likely leaving nascent and yet-to-be-founded firms at a disadvantage. Today’s most successful platforms benefited greatly from the liability shield, but they would have every incentive to deny it to future competitors.

Eliminating Section 230 won’t solve the already illegal harms the authors mention, but it will kill innovation that could result in better social-media options in the future. Better to avoid unintended consequences and increase funding to law enforcement rather than lining the pockets of trial lawyers.

Jessica Melugin
Competitive Enterprise Institute

Also warning against ending Section 230 is J.D. Tuccille.

Martin Gurri is insightful. A slice:

The normies want to get on with life. They want to work, get married, have children—boring stuff. That’s what normal means.

The elites, for their part, wish to change everything: sex, the climate, our history, your automobile, your diet, even the straws with which you slurp your smoothie. For them there is no good and evil, no right and wrong—only oppressors and oppressed. Every transaction demands their intervention to protect designated oppressed groups. “Social justice” translates neatly into “elite control.”

Juliette Sellgren talks with Katherine Mangu-Ward about AI.

My Mercatus Center colleague Dan Rothschild explains that “abundance is a choice.”

I’m eager to read Chris Coyne’s and Abby Hall’s forthcoming book, How to Run Wars: A Confidential Playbook for the National Security Elite.

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 37 of the original edition of Walter Lippmann’s sometimes deeply flawed but profoundly insightful and important 1937 book, The Good Society:

No doubt it is true that a society which organizes itself elaborately must go on until it has organized itself into rigidity, that it must seek stability because it cannot advance. It must imitate the mollusk, which, though it can neither walk, swim, nor fly, and has only meagre ambitions, does seem to enjoy a reasonably well-protected and stable existence.

DBx: Yes. Authoritarians, left and right, fear change that they do not control. And despite their insistence that they aim only to carry out the true ‘will of the people,’ they aim instead to impose their will on the people. “Clam up!” scream populists on the right and progressives on the left. “Individuals left free to pursue their own peaceful ends using whatever peaceful means they choose are a menace to society, for a society that leaves individuals free to act and choose peacefully will change in ways that we cannot predict. And such change is intolerable to us and, we assure you, also to you. We anoint ourselves as your guardians. In the shell of our protection, we’ll keep you warm and safe and secure from the anxiety that comes from real, unpredictable change – change not planned ahead of time by us. You’ll thank us.

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Some Links

Scott Lincicome, writing at Capitolism, is correct: “On Biden’s new China tariffs, history provides good reasons for almost everyone to worry.” Four slices:

There’s also little evidence that the [1980s automobile] VERs [voluntary export restraints] put the U.S. auto industry onto a path of global competitiveness and financial sustainability. We now know that the Big 3 spent their protectionist windfall profits like protected industries so often do—unwisely. “Rather than investing more of their short run profits to quickly catch up with the Japanese,” Joshua Yount wrote in a 1993 paper, “auto executives purchased financial, aircraft, and computer companies, wrote books, headed monument restoration commissions, and gave themselves hefty bonuses for earning profits from a restrictive trade agreement.” The Washington Post provided a specific example in 1985: “General Motors Corp.’s well‐advertised Saturn project (a mere 200,000-car potential) will cost only $450 million, whereas GM spent five times that sum—$2.5 billion—to acquire Electronic Data Systems Corp., among other nonauto investments.” (Saturn is, of course, out of business today.)

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There’s a reasonable argument to be made that the VERs didencourage Japanese automakers to invest more in the United States (though economists debate how much of that investment was really owed to the quotas). However, most of the new Japanese auto plants in the United States were non-union facilities located in “right to work” states—and thus came at the direct expense of the UAW workers and Rust Belt communities that the VERs were intended to bolster.

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“But Scott,” I can already hear you saying, “that was decades ago and not even tariffs. This is about China and national security and climate change!!” Well, fortunately for you, a modern example can answer your (very sincere and informed) concerns: the United States’ decade-plus attempt to subsidize and protect its way to a healthy domestic solar panel industry. Alas, it’s another cautionary tale.

As part of America’s last grand industrial policy experiment, the 2009 American Recovery and Investment Act, the U.S. government doled out billions in subsidies to domestic solar manufacturers. Almost immediately after the funds started flowing, problems started emerging, with China once again being blamed for U.S. companies’ financial difficulties. So, shortly after the highly publicized failure of industrial policy poster child Solyndra, the United States in 2011 launched antidumping and countervailing duty (AD/CVD) investigations of solar panels and cells from China. That case ultimately resulted in import taxes of more than 30 percent in 2012, subsequently reducing targeted products but increasing imports of other types of solar products from China and Taiwan. So, the still-struggling U.S. industry filed another, broader AD/CVD case in 2013 and again won final duties (ranging from about 10 percent to more than 200 percent) against those imports in early 2015.

Alas, these tariffs also didn’t result in a substantial, long-term increase in U.S. solar manufacturing and employment, despite higher solar panel prices here and billions in state and federal subsidies. As one recent Bloomberg report recalls, “most of the factories built as part of that [Obama-era] manufacturing push have long since shuttered.”

Instead, global solar manufacturing investment again shifted in the wake of the U.S. import restrictions, but this time to Southeast Asia, not the United States.

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As Capitolism readers surely know by now, the Japanese automotive quotas and solar panel tariffs are not isolated examples of the problems that arise when Washington turns to import restrictions to achieve industrial policy dreams. The history of U.S. trade policy is littered with examples of “targeted and temporary” protectionism blossoming into broader and longer-term government support for companies that actually become less globally competitive and thus turn back to Washington when the tariffs, subsidies, and mandates are about to run out.

Kimberly Clausing and Mary Lovely detail some of the likely costs of Trump’s proposed higher tariffs taxes on Americans’ purchases of imports. (HT Eric Boehm) Two slices:

The scale of trade barriers proposed by candidate Trump is unprecedented, but their costs to the US economy is informed by the empirical evidence from studies of the 2017 tariffs on solar panels, washing machines, aluminum, steel and iron, and Chinese imports. Importantly, these studies convincingly find no evidence of terms-of-trade benefits for the United States from these tariffs. Rather, the data show that higher tariffs are fully reflected in higher prices for US buyers.

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[W]e estimate that the combination of new Trump tariff proposals will generate consumer costs of at least 1.8 percent of GDP, not considering further damage from foreign retaliation and lost competitiveness. This calculation implies that the costs from Trump’s proposed new tariffs will be nearly five times those caused by the Trump tariff shocks through late 2019, generating additional costs to consumers from this channel alone of about $500 billion per year.

My intrepid Mercatus Center colleague, Veronique de Rugy, has some good ideas for even further strengthening American manufacturing. Two slices:

U.S. tariffs — taxes on Americans’ purchases of imports — are touted as a means of “leveling the playing field” by protecting domestic manufacturers from foreign competition. But this view overlooks the fact that tariffs raise costs not only for consumers but also for American businesses that use imports as inputs. Further, tariffs disrupt supply chains and cause trading partners to impose retaliatory tariffs on our exports.

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In addition, making the tax code simpler and more transparent would provide a significant boost to manufacturing. In her chapter of the handbook, the Tax Foundation’s Erica York explains that our tax code is punishing capital-intensive sectors like manufacturing. Capital investments, such as machinery and equipment, are subject to overly long depreciation schedules for tax purposes. These schedules often require businesses to deduct the cost of these investments over an extended period, which can be much longer than the useful life of the assets. The result is that manufacturers might not be able to fully recover the cost of their investments in a timely manner, tying up capital that could otherwise be used for growth or innovation.

The Wall Street Journal‘s Editorial Board reports that the governments of some blue states are attempting to suppress freedom of speech. Two slices:

Americans may have heard that democracy is under threat from MAGA Republicans, but what about from one-party progressive states? Witness how Illinois and other Democratic-controlled states are trying to muzzle their political opponents.

Democrats in Springfield are racing to pass legislation before their legislative session concludes this week to prohibit employers from discussing “religious or political matters” at mandatory meetings. While Democrats claim to be protecting workers from intimidation, their real goal is to silence employers.

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Businesses are challenging such laws in several states. Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison says employers can’t sue because state officials don’t plan to enforce the law. Look ma, no handcuffs. Did he miss Gov. Tim Walz’s threat during a speech at the North America’s Building Trades Unions legislative conference last month to put violating employers in jail?

It’s hard to take seriously warnings about a Donald Trump dictatorship when Democrats threaten to persecute opponents to entrench their own power.

Gary Galles writes wisely about government spending and jobs. A slice:

The reason this issue is so important is that government spending doesn’t really create jobs, but instead moves them from where people themselves would have chosen to where the government dictates by way of its tax, spending, and regulatory policies. And the distinction between creating jobs and moving jobs makes a substantial difference, given that there are almost 3 million federal employees and roughly 20 million state and local government employees in America (13 percent of total jobs). That substitution means that many of the jobs created directly or indirectly by government policies impose net costs on society rather than producing benefits, which worsens rather than improves Americans’ wellbeing.

GMU alums Paul Mueller and Tom Savidge wonder if Texas’s resistance to ESG will be enough.

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 143 of David Friedman’s superb 1996 book, Hidden Order:

Selling below cost is a poor way of driving your competitors out of business but a good way for a new firm to persuade customers to try its new products. Under present antitrust law, a firm that does so risks being accused by its competitors of unfair competition and forced to raise its price. Laws that make life hard for new firms – or old firms entering new markets – reduce competition and encourage monopoly, even if they are called antitrust laws.

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Some Links

Pat Lynch – after reading Robert Lighthizer’s new book – accurately describes Lighthizer as “a bootlegger in a Baptist’s mask.” Two slices:

There is no point in taking any of the economic assertions in Robert Lighthizer’s new book “No Trade is Free” seriously. That would be the equivalent of a geographer taking seriously the work of a Flat Earth advocate. For many years most economists have clearly understood that free trade is hugely beneficial to both individual consumers and the economies of communities of all sizes. If Paul Krugman and Milton Friedman agree on something, it’s safe to say that it’s likely true.

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As taxes go, tariffs are hidden and unavoidable, which makes them dangerous to liberty and property. History is littered with trade wars that don’t end well. And even if a government could, in lieu of a tariff, offer consumers a choice to “tip” the business that produced domestically manufactured goods at a higher cost, that might be one way to handle the obvious imposition of an unfair and economically inefficient policy onto all Americans.  And if some of my fellow Americans wanted to voluntarily help their fellow citizens in the Youngstown, Ohios and Gary, Indianas of the nation, so be it. But forcing all of us, including many of us who don’t benefit from such laws, to pay the costs of maintaining these economically uncompetitive and losing industries is nothing more than a politically motivated transfer to swing voters living in competitive states. It’s pure politics motivated by the unique political institution of the Electoral College. The fact that the Biden administration has also chosen to impose high tariffs on imported goods during this election year lays bare the naked political calculation here.

Bob Lighthizer wants you to join him in what he claims is a moral crusade to save a few American jobs. He fails to mention that ultimately, we will all pay much higher costs to do this and that he, his friends and former clients, and a very narrow sliver of the nation will benefit. He is that rarest of individuals, a lawyer for a bootlegger standing at the Baptist pulpit, hoping you don’t notice who’s putting money in the collection basket on Sundays.

Colin Grabow reveals that a new protectionist bill elevates corporate interests above that of U.S. soldiers. Two slices:

Last month saw the introduction of the Better Outfitting Our Troops (BOOTS) Act, a bill that would prohibit service members from using “optional boots” manufactured outside the United States or without US materials. While presented as a means of ensuring footwear quality, the legislation appears more concerned with the welfare of US bootmakers—and one manufacturer in particular—than those in uniform.

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Introduced by Representatives Nikki Budzinski (D‑IL), Mike Bost (R‑IL), and Rick Crawford (R‑AR), the bill restricts optional boots to those manufactured in the United States with domestic materials and components. Although the legislation’s sponsors claim the measure seeks to promote safety, it’s unclear how reducing servicemembers’ options in selecting footwear advances that goal. Indeed, the opposite seems a more likely outcome.

So why was the bill written? A press release announcing the BOOTS Act holds some clues.

Beyond emphasizing safety, the announcement warns that foreign manufacturers have “taken over the market for Army soldier footwear” (“taking over a market” is protectionist‐​speak for providing a valued good or service at an affordable price). The BOOTS Act’s passage, it adds, would “support domestic military footwear production at places like the Belleville Shoe Manufacturing Company”—a manufacturer with facilities in or near the bill’s sponsor’s districts.

It’s difficult not to conclude that driving business to the company, one highly reliant on government contracts touted by Bost and Budzinski, is a primary motivation for the bill. Even, it seems, if that means members of the armed services are left with fewer choices in critical footwear—choices they like as evidenced by the fact that manufacturers not compliant with the BOOTS Act dominate the market.

The University of Virginia’s Steven Rhoads, writing in the Wall Street Journal, explains that lower tax rates spur investments that are good for everyone. A slice:

Politicians and the press mislead voters and readers when they claim that tax cuts for the rich don’t benefit other economic classes. We all gain from new, improved products made possible by innovative startups funded by the wealthy. Excessive taxation, doubtless a feature of a “middle-out” plan, could deplete the funds that entrepreneurs use to start and sustain useful ventures.

Americans shouldn’t worry so much about wealth distribution. Instead, we should be grateful for how the wealthy enable entrepreneurial ideas to come to life, allowing everyone to prosper.

George Will decries the U.S. Supreme Court’s recent ruling in Consumer Financial Protection Bureau v. Community Financial Services Association of America. Three slices:

Last week, “the least dangerous” branch (Alexander Hamilton’s description of the judiciary) did something dangerous. By ratifying the unprecedented structure of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), the Supreme Court incentivized additional slipshod congressional work that will feed the executive branch’s sense of entitlement to unaccountable discretion in making laws and policies. The decision, which some progressives will praise as “judicial restraint,” demonstrates that this anodyne phrase often denotes a dereliction of the judicial duty to compel the other branches to act constitutionally.

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Last week, the court actually held, 7-2, that congressional progressives failed in their proclaimed attempt to pioneer a novel form of unaccountable autonomy for this appendage of the administrative state. Justice Clarence Thomas, joined by Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. and Justices Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, Brett M. Kavanaugh, Amy Coney Barrett and Ketanji Brown Jackson, said there is nothing importantly new about the CFPB’s structure. Either Thomas contradicts himself when referring to the CFPB’s various “novel structural features,” or he has unearthed a novel “original meaning” of “novel.”

The CFPB is doubly insulated from accountability through the appropriations process. The bureau funds itself by its director asserting its congressionally bestowed entitlement, in perpetuity, to up to 12 percent of the Federal Reserve’s operating expenses. These are not appropriated; they are assessments on banks and interest on the Fed’s holdings.

This, Thomas says approvingly, simply means nothing “forces” the CFPB “to regularly implore Congress” for funding. Implore? When did it become optional, even an indignity, for a federal agency to have to ask the people’s representatives for the people’s money?

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Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr., joined in dissent by Justice Neil M. Gorsuch, also unpacks the meaning of “appropriation” but comes to the correct conclusion that the Constitution’s framers would be “horrified” by the CFPB’s structure, which reduces the appropriations clause to “a minor vestige.” The CFPB does not even have to return unspent funds to the Treasury but can build an endowment from unspent funds. As the majority reads it, Alito writes, the appropriations clause “imposes no temporal limit that would prevent Congress from authorizing the executive to spend public funds in perpetuity.”

Also decrying the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau ruling in is Peter Wallison. A slice:

The Supreme Court has now authorized Congress to provide for the funding of agencies from sources—like the Fed—over which neither Congress nor the President has any significant control.

The reason Congress originally did this for the CFPB is clear: The Democratic Congress that created CFPB did not want the agency’s regulation of the financial system to be limited by the “politics” of a democracy; for example, some day, the regulated industry might acquire the power in Congress to reduce the authority of the CFPB.

To prevent this result, the financing of the agency was placed in the Federal Reserve, beyond the control of Congress. Although part of this independence has now been erased by Seila Law, which gave the President the power to dismiss the head of the agency in case he or she pursues policies inconsistent with those of the President.

But now a powerful agency of the government has been placed beyond the control of Congress, and by extension the American people.

Jon Miltimore is correct: So-called ‘net neutrality’ was never about saving the Internet.”

Joakim Book is no fan of Brad DeLong’s Slouching Towards Utopia. A slice:

An economic history of the 1940s, say, would involve production, government wartime dirigisme, debt financing, and postwar inflation. It would consider the faulty notion that big government wartime spending brought depressed economies out of the Great Depression of the 1930s. Instead, what DeLong delivers is a dull, textbook-type account of Britain and Germany’s warmongering. It’s the old-fashioned “maps and chaps” type of history—that aristocratic British flavor of academic investigations that look at all the wrong things (warfare, diplomatic correspondence, voting, or politicking).

Western governments of the interwar years—larger and more invasive than they had ever been—were, to DeLong’s eyes, pursuing “doctrines of orthodoxy and austerity,” with an “insistence on pure laissez-faire, that the government should simply leave the economy alone.”

We’re given many florid phrases about the horrid “anarchy of the market” and how the market “failed” to provide this or that imagined good. DeLong often seems to believe that because things exist in abundance somewhere in the world, we can all have anything we desire—physical distribution, durability, or political and institutional obstacles be damned. That’s an odd thing to publish in 2022, at the tail end of skyrocketing inflation and an energy crisis that, in part, resulted from insufficiently movable energy.

Kevin Corcoran writes insightfully about spontaneous order.

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Quotation of the Day…

… is from page 381 of George Will’s 2021 book, American Happiness and Discontents: The Unruly Torrent, 2008-2020 – a collection of many of his columns over these years; (the column from which the quotation below is drawn was originally published in the Washington Post on April 25th, 2018) (original emphasis):

So, the [United States Holocaust Memorial] museum presents human nature’s noblest as well as vilest manifestations. It has received 43 million visitors, 90 percent non-Jewish, many of whom have had opportunities to talk to survivors, such as Fanny Aizenberg, who in her 102nd year still comes most Sundays. Located just off the Mall, one of the world’s most pleasant urban spaces and the epicenter of American politics, the museum inflicts an assaultive, excruciating knowing: Nothing – nothing – is unthinkable, and political institutions by themselves provide no permanent safety from barbarism, which permanently lurks beneath civilization’s thin, brittle crust.

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